Jrue Holiday is eligible for a four year, $130 million free agent contract. How much of that do you think he will likely earn this summer?
Depending on the team, I think he will somewhere around three years at the amount he desires. Teams may not want to commit longer than that to him.
My guess is he gets that from New Orleans. They need strong backcourt play, and for whatever warts Holiday has, he’s a much safer play than other possibilities on the market. With Boogie and Brow in tow, I don’t think the Pelicans can afford to take big risks.
Four years, $100 million seems possible to me. I think teams are already adjusting to the new money and have a slight scare because the cap is projected to be lower than originally anticipated. The range depends on where he slides in behind Chris Paul and George Hill. If Paul re-ups with the Clippers, better chance that one of the other teams who wanted him looks to spend on options B or C.
I would target around four years and $90 million as a starting point, but four years and $100 million would be my max, though I know some would pay slightly more in the $104-108 million range. My range is lower than some would think, but his injury concerns, as well as a bit of a decline from the last two years has me topping out well below his max potential earnings.
I don’t think he’s worth the $32.5 million per season. It seems like these type of contracts are offered to players that are on the top or second-tier level, and even though Holiday had a solid season, I don’t think he belongs in that range. In my opinion, I think a three year/$60-72 million contract is fair. He’s done a good job in setting up players to score as well as himself and has developed into a great defender. He’s proven that he can handle the role of being a franchise’s starting point guard.
I’m not entirely sure Jrue Holiday is worth a max contract, but he has a good chance to receive one. Not only is he one of the best players available, but he’s one of the youngest unrestricted free agents on the open market. Teams will covet the opportunity to pay a player who won’t turn 30 until the fourth year on his contract. For the New York Knicks, Phil Jackson will likely offer him as much as he can afford to offer him. Jackson’s interest in Holiday is extensive and well-documented.
He will merit the max of his contract, due to how coveted point guards are in this current NBA. If Jrue gets anything less of $125 million, it would be a major surprise this offseason. It is what makes it so tough for the Pelicans, who are currently low on available money in free agency. Jrue knows what he can earn. He will likely ask for and get that amount.